• Sorenson: “Sailing there [Indian Ocean] has always depended upon the monsoons. The word monsoon is from the Arabic mawsim, which literally means “the date for sailing from one port in order to reach another.”
The advancing monsoon clouds and showers
in Aralvaimozhy, near Nagercoil, India
Words rarely literally mean an entire sentence—that is usually the idiom side of the word, and may well be true in this case. The word monsoon is actually from the In the Arabic meaning, “Mawsim” describes the characteristic of monsoons of large scale reversals of the prevailing winds, giving two very distinct and separate seasons.
Secondly, the unknown writer, Periplus of the Erythraean Sea of the 1st century A.D. and Pliny the Elder both credit Greek navigator Hippalus with discovering the direct route from the Red Sea to India over the Indian Ocean by following the direction of the winds called monsoon. Originally named Hippalus after him, the term originally referred to wind reversals in the Arabian Sea, though now it has come to mean the whole range of phenomena associated with annual weather cycles in Tropical and sub-tropical Asia, Australia and Africa.
This tracking of the monsoons in ancient times made maritime trade easier and also it aided in tracking the great weather system that dominates life on the subcontinent (of India), where it is one of the oldest and most anticipated weather phenomena and an economically important pattern every year from June through September.
Yet it is only partly understood and notoriously difficult to predict. Several theories have been proposed to explain the origin, process, strength, variability, distribution, and general vagaries of the monsoon, but understanding and predictability are still evolving.
• Sorenson: “the end of March or beginning of April was the best time to head east from the south Arabian coast; if delayed too long after that, a ship would encounter huge, dangerous swells as it neared the west coast of India.”
The winds and currents flow from the
southwest to the northeast during the Summer Monsoon, which begins in October
and runs to through March—any ship leaving southern Arabia at this time, as the
run arrow shows, would be forced back up and into the Indian west coast and
could not have sailed “driven forth before the wind” around India or toward
Indonesia. Even if they could manage to get around India and Sri Lanka, they
would be driven up into the northern portion of the Bay of Bengal and into the
land
From April to September, the winds blow from the northeast toward the southwest and pick up the south flowing Somali Current heading down toward Madagascar.
The winds and currents flow from the northeast to the southwest during the
Winter Monsoon, which begins in April and runs through September—any ship
leaving southern Arabia at this time, as the red arrow shows, would be driven
toward the southwest into the Sea of Arabia and toward the Indian Ocean. If
they tried to turn east (maroon arrow), they would have been driven out into
the Sea of Arabia and still turned southwest down into the Indian Ocean
Response: Gerald Randall Tibbetts, Navigation in the Indian Ocean before the Portuguese, was written in 2002 and dealt with sailing ships and other ships under diesel engine power. Almost any engine can overcome winds and currents. However, Nephi’s ship was driven forth before the wind, meaning it was pushed forward, not drawn forward, i.e., it did not tack or close haul—it sailed with the wind behind it, and as such, no time of the year would overcome the winds and currents of the Sea of Arabia to head into the wind by going east.
• Sorenson: “The route would have gone essentially straight east at about fifteen degrees north latitude to the Indian coast, then south around Ceylon in time for the southwest monsoon, first felt in May in the Bay of Bengal.”
Sorenson’s Proposed Route for Lehi. Note it is against the winds and
currents until he gets beyond Sri Lanka, then he would be driven into the Bay
of Bengal and toward the far northern shore—not toward Indonesia
• Sorenson: “Sumatra would have been reached no later than September.”
Response: Reaching Sumatra in Indonesia would have been most unlikely with the ship Nephi describes, “being driven before the wind,” since the entire trip would have been either against the wind (impossible for Nephi’s ship) or been blown toward shore, either on the west coast of India (most likely) or along the coasts of India, Bangledesh, or Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal.
Maroon arrow shows the path the wind would have blown him if Lehi
managed to reach the Bay of Bengal. The idea that he could have sailed across
the Indian Ocean and into the Andaman Sea to reach Sumatra and the Strait
between there and Malaysia is simply unrealistic
• Sorenson: “The great storm noted in 1 Nephi 18:13-14 could have been either a cyclonic storm or a typhoon, which are violent in the Bay of Bengal.”
Response: There are violent storms all over the Sea of Arabia, and North Indian Ocean, on both sides of the Indian Peninsula, as well as occasional storms directly in the path around Madagascar in the southern Indian Ocean that Lehi would have sailed to reach the Southern Ocean. In fact, the MODIS image showed that thunderstorms were mostly west of the low-level center of circulation and bands of thunderstorms were wrapping into the center—microwave images also show that wind shear pushes the bulk of the deep convection and strong thunderstorms west of the defined low-level center, right in Lehi’s path, and sub-tropical ridges or elongated areas of high pressure located to the east-southeast of the tropical storm area continually steering the storms to the southwest. Thereafter a mid-latitude trough (elongated area) of low pressure will steer it southward
White circle shows where almost all of the tropical storms in the Bay
of Bengal fall—outside of Sorenson’s proposed (dotted Blue line) course for
Lehi from Sri Lanka to Sumatra
(See the next post, “John L. Sorenson’s Winds and Currents – Part III,” for more reasons why Sorenson’s views on this matter in his work “Winds and Currents: A Look at Nephi's Ocean Crossing“, which we have been asked to evaluate, are far from the scriptural description and the scientific facts)
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